Tudor 2025 Predictions: Could It Steal the Spotlight from Rolex?
As Watches and Wonders Geneva 2025 approaches, speculation is heating up about what Tudor might unveil. While Rolex maintains its tradition of incremental refinements, its sibling brand Tudor has taken a more daring approach, experimenting with innovative materials, in-house movements, and bold designs.
With no official leaks available, these predictions are based on Tudor’s past release patterns and industry trends. Here’s what we might expect from the Shield this year.
A New Tudor "Big Block" Chronograph
One of the most exciting possibilities for 2025 is the return of a modern Tudor Big Block Chronograph. Originally launched in 1976 as part of the Oysterdate 7000 series, the Big Block was Tudor’s first automatic chronograph.
Why This Could Happen
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In 2023, Tudor developed the Prince Chronograph One, an 18k yellow gold chronograph for Only Watch.
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The model introduced a new in-house column-wheel chronograph movement (MT59XX), but after Tudor withdrew from the auction, the watch never saw a commercial release.
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Tudor has a history of adapting its Only Watch designs into production models—such as the Black Bay Ceramic One (2019) → Black Bay Ceramic (2021).
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A stainless steel Prince Chronograph with a "reverse panda" dial would be a logical commercial release in 2025.
If this happens, the model could feature an evolution of the MT5813 calibre, the movement currently used in Black Bay Chronos. This revival would further solidify Tudor’s place in the modern chronograph market.
A White Ceramic Black Bay for Tudor’s F1 Partnership
Tudor made its motorsport comeback in 2023 by partnering with Visa Cash App Racing Bulls (VCARB)—formerly Scuderia AlphaTauri. To commemorate this, the brand introduced the Black Bay Ceramic "Blue", featuring a black ceramic case and an electric blue dial.
What Could Come Next?
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With VCARB’s new white-and-blue livery, a White Ceramic Black Bay would be a natural evolution.
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Tudor has already shown an interest in expanding its ceramic lineup, making a white version a logical next step.
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A chronograph complication could be introduced to further align with the motorsport theme.
Although this remains speculative, a White Ceramic Black Bay Chronograph would be one of the boldest Tudor releases to date.
A New Bezel Colour for the Black Bay 58 GMT
The Black Bay 58 GMT, introduced in 2024, quickly became a fan favourite with its 39mm case and "Coke" (black-and-red) bezel. Given its success, a new variant in 2025 seems highly likely.
Potential Variants
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"Blueberry" Edition – A solid blue bezel, distinguishing it from the standard Black Bay GMT.
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"Batman" (Black & Blue) Bezel – A nod to Rolex’s GMT-Master II.
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Gilt Gold-Tone Bezel – A vintage-inspired variation.
Tudor has a history of gradually expanding its GMT lineup, so at least one of these variations could materialise.
Expanding the Black Bay 54 Collection
Since its 2023 debut, the Black Bay 54 (37mm) has gained a strong following as Tudor’s most compact dive watch. However, no new versions have been introduced—something that could change in 2025.
Possible Expansions
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A green “Hulk” version, referencing Tudor’s previous green-bezel successes.
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A full blue model, complementing Tudor’s maritime heritage.
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A gilt dial and bezel, enhancing its vintage appeal.
With smaller dive watches gaining mainstream appeal, this would be a logical move for Tudor.
The Black Bay Pro Finally Goes "Polar"
The Black Bay Pro, introduced in 2022, was Tudor’s tribute to the Rolex Explorer II ref. 1655. Featuring a fixed steel bezel and a 24-hour hand, it paid homage to Rolex’s adventurous spirit.
Why a White “Polar” Dial Makes Sense
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The Rolex Explorer II "Polar" (ref. 16570, 1989) is one of Rolex’s most iconic designs.
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A white-dial Black Bay Pro would further strengthen the connection between the two models.
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The dial could feature either block lume markers or standard lume-filled plots, depending on Tudor’s design direction.
Given Tudor’s historical references to classic Rolex models, a Polar Black Bay Pro seems overdue.
A Solid Gold Tudor Royal
While Tudor is best known for its sports watches, the Tudor Royal is an underrated alternative. As a slim, integrated-bracelet dress/sports watch, it offers a distinct take on the luxury sports watch category.
Why a Gold Version is Possible
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In 2023, Tudor introduced two-tone Royal models, showing a willingness to expand the collection.
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The brand has already experimented with solid gold watches, such as the Black Bay 58 18k.
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A full gold Royal could serve as a dressier alternative within Tudor’s portfolio.
Although this would be a niche offering, it would further diversify Tudor’s lineup.
Likely Tudor Releases for 2025
Based on Tudor’s historical patterns and market trends, 2025 could be a landmark year.
Most Likely Releases
✅ A modern "Big Block" Chronograph – A stainless steel Prince Chronograph featuring an in-house column-wheel movement.
✅ A new Black Bay 58 GMT variant – Possibly with a solid bezel colour.
✅ A Polar Black Bay Pro – A white-dial variant in tribute to the Explorer II ref. 16570.
✅ Black Bay 54 Expansion – New dial and bezel colour options.
More Speculative Possibilities
❓ A White Ceramic Black Bay – A tribute to Tudor’s F1 partnership with VCARB.
❓ A full-gold Tudor Royal – A high-end dress/sports watch expansion.
As Tudor continues to carve out its identity, 2025 could be the year it truly stands out—even alongside Rolex. With Watches and Wonders Geneva fast approaching, we won’t have to wait long to see if these predictions become reality.